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table of contents
Contents
- Acknowledgements
- Introduction
- Organised crime and human mobility in the region
- The nature of organised criminal groups
- Organised criminal groups in Mexico
- Organised criminal groups in Northern Central America
- Methodology and approach
- Fieldwork in Mexico and El Salvador, 2015
- Ethical considerations
- Data analysis
- The morphogenetic approach: a critical realist analytic framework
- The Structure–Agency Impasse
- Mixed Flows and Transit Migration
- Applying the morphogenetic approach in my data analysis
- Engagement and contribution
- The structure of the book
- Notes
- 1.Criminal violence as a driver of internal displacement and external migration
- Migration out of Northern Central America
- Historical context of displacement and migration in the region
- Criminal violence as a driver of migration
- New in-country migration controls in Mexico – Plan Frontera Sur
- Organised criminal groups and an emerging displacement crisis
- Criminal violence in Northern Central America
- Understanding external migration driven by organised crime as this new factor emerged
- Internal displacement caused by gang violence in Northern Central America
- Understanding how organised crime was causing this emerging displacement trend
- Understanding the role and response of the state as this new wave of displacement emerged
- Organised crime and disorganised movement: conceptualising internal displacement in El Salvador and Honduras
- Criminal governance: framing the source of risk
- Triggers of flight: levels and immediacy of risk
- Fleeing risk: who flees, when and how
- Seeking safety: strategies in internal displacement
- Displacement dynamics: ostensibly random, fundamentally precarious
- Decision-making underpinned by the same logic
- Why people leave their country because of criminal violence and persecution by organised criminal groups
- Factors that contribute to external flight
- Different Levels of Risk, Different Patterns of Mobility
- Why Internal Displacement May Not Be Viable
- Personal experience of threats or violence and the decision to migrate
- Internal Displacement Abandoned in Favour of External Migration
- No Internal Displacement Before External Migration
- Pre-Emptive External Migration
- New Understanding About How Criminal Violence Causes External Flight
- Agency and decision-making in displacement caused by criminal violence
- Notes
- 2.Transit and trajectory through Mexico: navigating risk and finding protection
- Locating decisions in transit migration
- “I never knew we had a right to be safe”: the right to seek international protection as an influence on migration trajectory
- Factors that contribute to determining destination or making asylum claims
- Rights information, decision-making and trajectory: morphogenetic analysis
- Rights Information and Changes in Destination
- Unchanged Destination or Temporary Changes to Plans
- How receiving rights information during transit affects migration trajectory
- Risk and violence during transit and their impact on migrants’ agency
- Migrant experiences in southern Mexico, 2015
- Prior knowledge of risk during transit
- Criminal attacks during transit
- Decision-making following criminal attacks
- No Changes to Planned Destination Following Criminal Attacks
- Changes to Planned Destination Following Criminal Attacks
- Decision-making of those who had fled criminal violence and persecution
- How criminal abuse during transit affects migrant agency
- Decision-making in transit as part of the migration journey
- Notes
- 3.Organised crime groups as a threat to migrants during transit
- Locating criminal violence and abuse in the transit state
- Transit migration: the nature and source of vulnerability and abuse
- The vulnerability of people in transit
- Violence against migrants in transit: abuse and its systematic nature
- The situation in southern Mexico after Plan Frontera Sur
- Migrant Agency: Self-Protection Strategies
- Perpetrators, operational models and territorial control
- The state: impunity, corruption and collusion
- Characterising violence during transit migration as structural violence
- Contextual factors that enable criminal abuse during transit
- The development of organised crime as a structural force during transit: morphogenetic analysis
- First phase: organised crime evolves as structural factor in transit migration
- Second phase: impact of new migration controls on criminal activity
- The causal role of policy
- Criminal abuse, policy-driven harm and the role of the state
- Notes
- 4.People-smuggling through Mexico and the role of organised crime and corruption
- Conceptualising people-smuggling
- People-smuggling and state integrity
- People-smuggling and organised crime in Mexico and Central America
- People-smuggling in the region: its role and evolution 2000–15
- Criminal actors involved in people-smuggling
- The impact of Plan Frontera Sur (2014–16)
- Transcontinental links
- Migration controls and the evolution of people-smuggling and organised crime: a morphogenetic perspective
- The evolution of people-smuggling in Mexico and Central America: morphogenetic analysis
- First Phase: Post-2001 Migration Controls
- Second Phase: Mexican Security Policy After 2006
- Third Phase: The Implementation of Plan Frontera Sur in 2014
- Impact of migration controls on people-smuggling and related corruption
- Migrant agency in the context of people-smuggling
- Migrant agency: constrained by circumstance
- Migrant agency: transforming power and emergent properties
- First Phase: Agency Leads to Structural Elaboration in Transit State
- Second Phase: Agency Continues Despite Previous Structural Elaboration
- Impact of agency on the deployment of policy and on its efficacy
- People-smuggling, corruption and state integrity
- Notes
- 5.Law, policy and the state: accountability for adverse consequences, criminal activity and corruption
- Externalisation of migration controls under Plan Frontera Sur
- Developing perspectives on policy outcomes
- Locating understanding about the consequences of policy, the acts of non-state actors and state accountability
- Adverse policy outcomes and policy gaps
- The externalisation of migration controls and the transit state
- State accountability
- Deportations under Plan Frontera Sur: state obligations versus policy outcomes
- Obligations to those with potential international protection needs
- Implementation of Plan Frontera Sur: a morphogenetic perspective
- Adverse consequences of Plan Frontera Sur
- Deportations that may not meet legal obligations
- Financial incentives
- Implications of political pressure and financial incentives
- The state, abuse by organised crime and impunity
- State responsibility for acts of non-state actors: due diligence and beyond
- Morphogenetic perspective on state inaction: from tolerance to impunity
- Impunity and the foreseeable adverse consequences of policy: insight from morphogenetic analysis
- Implications of ‘collateral damage’ for notions of state accountability
- The state and people-smuggling: the nexus of migration and corruption
- Coexistence and collusion
- Weakened state integrity
- Implications of corruption for notions of state responsibility
- The dimensions of the state’s role and responsibility
- Notes
- Conclusions and reflections
- Contributions to knowledge and understanding about the empirical situation
- Displacement and migration caused by organised crime in Northern Central America
- Abuse during transit in Mexico
- People-smuggling through Mexico
- Policy and state responsibility
- Morphogenetic approach: a tool for analysis and synthesis
- Contribution to broader academic debates
- Agency, decision-making and displacement dynamics in forced migration
- Policy gaps and adverse consequences
- State accountability
- Synthesising these debates
- Final reflections
- The evolving situation in Mexico and Central America
- Global relevance
- Future research directions
- Notes
- Bibliography
- Index